This topic is currently a focal point of heightened military activity and political rhetoric between India and Pakistan. Recent reports confirm that India is preparing for a major tri-service military exercise in the Sir Creek region, which has led to a perceived state of “panic” or high alert in Pakistan.

Here are the full details based on recent news:

🇮🇳 India’s Military Deployment and Activity

• Exercise Trishul: India is set to conduct a large-scale, tri-service military drill named Exercise Trishul from approximately October 30 to November 10, 2025. This involves the Indian Army, Navy, and Air Force in a joint, multi-domain operation.
• Location: The exercise’s focus area is the Sir Creek region—a 96-km disputed tidal estuary between the Rann of Kutch in Gujarat (India) and the Sindh province (Pakistan). The exercise will take place in the Sir Creek and adjoining coastal sectors.
• Objective: The drill aims to validate India’s growing capacity for integrated and joint operational capability, refine command and control protocols, test amphibious and coastal defence capabilities, and strengthen deterrence in this strategically sensitive area.
• Official Warnings: Indian Defence Minister Rajnath Singh, during a recent visit to the Bhuj Military Station, issued a stern warning to Pakistan against any “misadventure” in the Sir Creek sector, stating that any aggression would invite a “decisive response” strong enough to change both “history and geography.” He also pointed out that “the road to Karachi passes through the Creek.”
• Infrastructure: India has reinforced its posture with the Border Security Force (BSF), amphibious hovercraft, fortified posts, and integrated surveillance, and has recently inaugurated the Tidal Independent Berthing Facility and a Joint Control Centre (JCC) in the strategic Creek sector.

🇵🇰 Pakistan’s Response and Reported “Panic”

• Airspace Restriction (NOTAM): In response to the planned Indian exercise, Pakistan has issued a Notice to Airmen (NOTAM), restricting several air traffic routes over its central and southern airspace. This is believed to be linked to either its own military drill or the heightened state of alert.
• High Alert: Reports from Indian media, citing sources, suggest that the large scale of Exercise Trishul has sent “alarm bells ringing in Islamabad,” with multiple Pakistani military commands and bases reportedly put on high alert.
• Mobilization: Pakistan has reportedly mobilized its Air Force and Navy to remain on standby for any perceived aggression and has increased patrolling in the Arabian Sea. The Bahawalpur Strike Corps and Karachi Corps are also said to be on standby.
• Context: The current tensions are amplified by Pakistan’s recent military build-up in the Sir Creek area—which India’s Defence Minister explicitly mentioned—and the aftermath of a recent military operation by India, known as ‘Operation Sindoor.’

Key Context: The Sir Creek Dispute

The Sir Creek area is a critical flashpoint because:

• Unresolved Border: The dispute over where the boundary runs (India claims the mid-channel based on the Thalweg Doctrine; Pakistan claims the eastern bank) directly impacts the delimitation of the maritime boundary.
• Strategic Importance: It is vital for both coastal security, resource access (potential oil/gas and fishing grounds), and is considered strategically crucial for the defence of Karachi, Pakistan’s economic and naval hub.

This ongoing situation reflects a major escalation in military signalling and preparedness in a historically disputed and strategically important region.